Terror of the night! European and American stock markets collapsed, France intends to "close the country", and Germany's cases have increased exponentially!

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Topic:What is the latest index in the U.S. today

Fright in the middle of the night! Just now, the European and American stock markets collapsed: US stocks fell nearly 900 points at one time! France intends to "close the country", and the number of cases in Germany is increasing exponentially! Can A shares hold it?

China Fund News Taylor

On the evening of the 28th, the European and American stock markets opened again because of the second epidemic The outbreak of the bear market! It seems to be a replay of the stock market when the epidemic broke out at the beginning of the year.

The market continues to pay attention to US corporate financial reports and congressional hearings of technology giants. The virus epidemic situation in the United States and Europe is severe, and Germany and France may introduce stricter restrictions. The outcome of the US election is still uncertain, and the new round of fiscal stimulus is still deadlocked. Crude oil fell sharply and the panic index rose sharply.

Wail! European and American stock markets fell sharply

Germany fell 4%, and US stocks fell nearly 900 points at one time

As the last few days of the U.S. election are approaching, U.S. stocks have collapsed again.

On the evening of the 28th, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively opened lower, and the three major indexes all fell by more than 2%! The Dow Jones Index fell by 884 points, Nasdaq fell by nearly 3%, and the S&P 500 fell by more than 2.5%!

On the other hand, due to the soaring US crude oil inventories in the market, the number of new coronavirus infections in the US and Europe has increased, triggering oversupply of oil and weak fuel demand Worry. Crude oil fell more than 5%.

For precious metals, gold fell nearly 2% and silver fell about 5%

Looking back at Europe, as the second wave of new coronavirus infections in Europe intensifies, investors are worried that the government will be forced to implement stricter anti-epidemic measures and impact the economy. , European stock markets fell sharply at the opening on October 28, and the German, French, and British stock markets plunged 3% or 4% collectively!

It is reported that in response to the second wave of the epidemic, France is considering implementing a one-month nationwide lockdown.

Among them, Germany fell the most brutally, dropping 5% at one time! German Chancellor Angela Merkel hopes to urge the German state governments to agree to close all bars and restaurants from next week in order to slow the pandemic while keeping schools open.

New crown cases in the U.S. single day exceed the summer peak

Professor Harvard said the US epidemic spreads more than wildfires

Statistics show In the past week (October 19-25, local time), there were more than 500,000 new confirmed cases in the United States, of which more than 80,000 new cases in a single day on the 23rd and 24th broke the peak of the summer epidemic The highest record since.

As the number of confirmed diagnoses in multiple states across the United States hit a new high, since last weekThe number of hospitalizations of confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in more than 40 states has reached the highest level, and the death toll in 5 states has hit a new high since the outbreak.

Data from Johns Hopkins University shows that, on average, every 1.26 seconds, the United States will add a new confirmed case of new coronary pneumonia.

According to the statistics of Johns Hopkins University in the United States, from the 20th to the 26th of this month, there will be nearly 50 new confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia in the United States within a week 10,000 cases, an average of nearly 70,000 new cases per day, the highest level since the outbreak in the United States.

U.S. Assistant Secretary of Health and Human Services Giruval said in an interview with the media on the 27th local time that the number of confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia reported in the United States has increased sharply recently. It's not just because of "increased testing volume", but "real growth." The rapid increase in the number of newly confirmed cases has caused a rapid increase in the number of hospitalized patients, and the medical system in many parts of the country is under tremendous pressure.

Scott Gottlieb, former director of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, said in an interview on the 26th local time that the "worst case of the U.S. epidemic has not Coming", next, in some parts of the United States, the number of confirmed cases of new coronary pneumonia will increase at an exponential rate.

The key member of the White House Coronavirus Response Task Force, Anthony Fauci, also pointed out that the recent surge in cases in the United States does not mean the arrival of the second or third wave of epidemics. At present, the United States may still be in the midst of what he described as "the first wave of the epidemic."

"It is an understatement to compare the current COVID-19 outbreak in the United States to wildfires." Professor William Hanage, an infectious disease expert at Harvard University, said, " There is no dispute that what the United States is currently experiencing is a nationwide spread of the epidemic."

Hanaji pointed out that the “wave” of the epidemic refers to the arrival of the epidemic. And gradually subsided, but the state of the wildfire is not stable. The fire may be getting smaller in one area but some areas seem to be very strong. He pointed out that measures such as wearing masks and social isolation can suppress the spread of the fire, but once the guard is relaxed, it will "reignite" and spread.

"Every wave we start to climb from the beginning." Ashish Jha, Dean of the School of Public Health at Brown University, said that the hot spots of the epidemic were concentrated this summer Compared with the southern and southwestern United States, there are no hot spots in this wave.

"This time it is a nationwide spread, and at the same time we start to enter the winter, the virus will spread more easily." Jiha said.

Trump recognizes: New stimuli may not be available before early November

U.S. President Trump admitted on the 27th that an agreement on a new round of anti-epidemic relief fiscal stimulus plan may not be reached until after the U.S. election because the White House cannot bridge the gap with fellow Republicans in the Senate and Democrats in Congress.

At the same time, U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Pelosi also broke the hope of reaching an agreement and accused the White House of “tragically” failure.

Since the outbreak of the coronavirus, the U.S. Congress has passed four rounds of economic stimulus packages, with nearly $3 trillion allocated, but many including unemployment insurance The aid has expired.

U.S. media quoted analysis that if the two parties cannot agree on a new round of economic stimulus plan in the near future, the U.S. economy may continue to shrink in the fourth quarter.

The European epidemic is too ferocious

French considerations Closing the country, Germany grows exponentially

The latest news from Paris shows that French President Emmanuel Macron is likely to deliver a national speech at 8pm local time on WednesdayShi announced the implementation of a strict nationwide lockdown similar to this spring, starting on Thursday for a period of four weeks to prevent the rapid spread of the epidemic.

Berlin is also considering new blockade measures. German Chancellor Angela Merkel hopes to urge the German state governments to agree to close all bars and restaurants from next week, etc. , In order to slow down the pandemic while keeping schools open. After the death toll jumped to a record high on Tuesday, the British government is also facing increasing pressure to re-impose a nationwide lockdown.

In the past week, the infection rate of the new crown in France has risen sharply. Last Saturday, the number of new infections reached an astonishing 50,000 in 2010. According to data released by the French Public Health Agency on the 27th, there were 33,417 newly confirmed cases within 24 hours, 288 deaths, and an increase in the number of patients receiving intensive care by 148. The new crown epidemic has caused more than 35,000 deaths in France, second only to the United Kingdom and Italy, and third in Europe.

According to the latest data released by the Robert Koch Institute, the German Federal Agency for Disease Control and Prevention, as of 0:00 local time on the 28th, a total of 464,239 cases of new coronary pneumonia have been confirmed in Germany. Compared with the previous day, there were 14,964 new cases, another record high; the cumulative number of deaths was 10,183, which was 85 more than the previous day; the cumulative total of about 332,800 cases were cured.

German Chancellor Merkel and the 16 federal states will hold a video conference on the next anti-epidemic measures starting at noon on the 28th. According to German media on the same day, the government has drafted new regulations to tighten restrictions on gatherings of people in public places and holding celebrations and gatherings in all places to effectively curb the spread of the epidemic and ensure that the most important family holiday in Germany in winter is the Christmas period. There is no need to tighten the anti-epidemic regulations again, and people can also reunite with their families while strictly observing the hygiene requirements.

The draft stated that the number of new coronavirus infections in almost all regions of Germany is increasing exponentially. This means that many local health authorities cannot track and trace all infections. Therefore, it is now necessary to drastically reduce human-to-human contact. It is hoped that extensive restrictions will no longer be required during the Christmas period.

Germany responded relatively well to the first wave of COVID-19 this spring, but The number of infections has risen rapidly in recent weeks, and hospital beds have been in a hurry. . German Economy Minister Alter Peter Altmaier warns that the number of cases in Germany is "exponentially increasing "By this weekend, it may reach 20,000 new infections every day.

Erian pointed out that the current increase in infection rates in European countries has translated into an increase in the number of hospitalizations and deaths, although the medical response has been achieved since the first wave of epidemics. However, the current surge in cases has once again put pressure on hospital service capacity, and even some countries with strong response capabilities have encountered problems. He is deeply worried that countries like Switzerland have announced that the intensive care unit will be exhausted within 11 days.

Christina Page, a professor at University College London in the United Kingdom, recently warned in a study that the “test and tracking system” currently used by the British government shows the diagnosis There is a huge gap between the number of people and the actual number of confirmed cases, so it is not known whether the tracking system will play a role in reducing the spread of the virus.

Christina said that how many symptomatic infected people in England are in isolation for two weeks. This number has been unknown. Even if this data exists, It is also outdated data two weeks ago and is not accurate. In October alone, the British new crown virus infection test and tracking system only tracked less than 60% of the actual confirmed patients.

What do analysts think?

ThinkMarkets market analyst Fawad Razaqzada said: “One of the reasons is that no fiscal stimulus plan will be introduced before the US election. More importantly, the new crown virus infection And dieThe level of death has risen, leading to stricter restrictions and blockades. Just as things started to improve, this again made people worry about the economic impact of the pandemic. Investors are forced to re-evaluate their optimistic forecasts for growth, thereby reducing their risk exposure accordingly. "

"Short selling undoubtedly increases the pressure because short-term traders with concentrated opportunities begin to take advantage of volatility. Curfews have been in effect in several European countries, but this has not significantly prevented social interactions, and the new crown virus continues to spread, leading to an increase in deaths. For example, France recorded 523 deaths on Tuesday. Therefore, the government plans to further increase restrictions, which worries investors, because this may mean that the economic recovery will stop completely. ”

Among them, the German stock market plummeted and officially entered the field of correction-higher levels fell by more than 10%. According to reports, Germany will shut down parts of the country’s economy starting from November 2nd. In order to control the continued spread of the new crown epidemic. Bloomberg reported: “As new crown virus infections continue to rise across Europe, Merkel is pushing for partial blockade in Germany, including the closure of bars, restaurants and leisure facilities by the end of November. "

"The lesson that the rest of Europe has learned from France is that stricter lockdown measures are better than semi-lockdown, because the latter may not be effective and requires Stricter measures were taken again. "

Forexlive pointed out that the increase in the number of new coronavirus infections today is not surprising, because it has been going on for several weeks. The uncertainty about the US election has continued. Longer time. In fact, there is no unexpected big news today, but the issues about the election deadline and the coming of winter make people feel scared. All traders and investors who think they have strong strength are cashing out. At present. It is impossible to predict the outcome, but in the next 5 days, it is safe to say that any turbulence felt by the market today will not disappear before November 3.

Can A shares hold up on Thursday?

Although the external market plummeted, A50 performance was still relatively strong and it fell symbolically 0.39%. After all, China’s epidemic prevention measures are the best.

Right, The new Ant Group will be launched on Thursday, please don’t forget.

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Editor in charge: Zhang Yujie SF107

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